Strategic Decision-Making: How to Choose the Best Path for You
The central question every person faces is, “should I wait to claim Social Security?” There is no single correct answer, but there is a correct process for finding the answer that is right for you. It involves moving beyond gut feelings and analyzing the numbers through different scenarios. Let’s compare two distinct strategies using a realistic example.
Imagine two individuals, Robert and Susan. Both were born in 1960, making their full retirement age 67. Both have a primary insurance amount (PIA) of $2,200 per month at their FRA.
Strategy 1: Robert Claims Early at Age 62
Robert decides to leave the workforce and needs the income. He files for Social Security as soon as he is eligible at age 62. Because he is claiming 60 months before his FRA of 67, his benefit is permanently reduced by 30%. His monthly check will be $1,540 ($2,200 * 0.70). The advantage is clear: he receives income immediately. For five years, from age 62 to 67, he will have received money while Susan received nothing. This head start amounts to $92,400 ($1,540 * 12 * 5).
The downside is that this $1,540 monthly benefit (plus cost-of-living adjustments) is what he will receive for the rest of his life. He has locked in the maximum possible reduction.
Strategy 2: Susan Delays Until Age 70
Susan has other savings she can live on, or she continues to work. She decides to maximize her benefit by waiting until age 70. By delaying three years past her FRA of 67, she earns 8% in delayed credits for each of those years, for a total of 24%. Her monthly benefit will be permanently increased. Her monthly check will be $2,728 ($2,200 * 1.24).
Susan’s benefit is $1,188 higher than Robert’s every single month. That is a staggering difference. The downside is that she forgoes any payments for eight years, from 62 to 70. She is making a calculated bet on her longevity.
The Breakeven Analysis
To determine when Susan’s strategy pays off, we can calculate a “breakeven” point. Susan starts at age 70 with a significant income advantage but needs to make up for the $92,400 Robert received before she even got her first check, plus the additional $73,920 ($1,540 * 12 * 4) he received while she was waiting from 67 to 70. Robert’s total head start is $166,320.
Susan’s monthly benefit is $1,188 higher than Robert’s. To cover the head start, it will take her approximately 140 months ($166,320 / $1,188). That is about 11 years and 8 months. This means Susan’s total lifetime benefits will pull ahead of Robert’s when she is around age 81 and 8 months. If both Susan and Robert live past this age, Susan will come out significantly ahead, and the gap will widen every year.
This numerical exercise is a crucial part of retirement planning. However, the decision is not just about the math. You must also weigh factors like your health, your family’s longevity, your need for immediate income, the presence of a spouse, and your other sources of retirement funds.